Penedense vs União Futebol Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
COR
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
ASA
21%
26%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 2
PEN
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
União Futebol Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
CSE
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CSE
2 - 2
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 6
COR
17%
22%
60%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |