Penedense vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
IPA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
CSE
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |