SC NEC vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
RKV
7 - 0
SCN
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
EFC
3 - 0
SCN
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SCN
0 - 4
SVL
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RRH
2 - 2
SCN
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ERP
5 - 0
SCN
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 0
ALV
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 4
RKV
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ERP
2 - 2
ALV
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
NEM
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
2 - 2
TOP
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |