Jaraguá vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
JAR
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 3
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 2
JAR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
5 - 3
JAR
71%
16%
12%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CAC
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
JUV
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 0
CAC
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |