Jaraguá vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
ATL
4%
9%
87%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 2
JAR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
JAR
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
2 - 0
ANA
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +4 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
86%
11%
4%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
DOM
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |