SC Freiburg vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
EBT
2 - 2
SCF
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SCF
4 - 3
STP
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SGF
2 - 3
SCF
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 1
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
SCF
1 - 0
KSC
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
MSV
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MSV
0 - 2
HEI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
MSV
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCU
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |