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Bundesliga. Matchday 33

SC Freiburg Bayern München
70 ELO 96
38% Tilt 21%
237º General ELO ranking
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.5%
SC Freiburg
17.6%
Draw
65.9%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
65.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Freiburg
+36%
+31%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

SC Freiburg
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
14º
10º
68
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
68
81
100%
RB Leipzig
61
69
67%
Wolfsburg
54
62
28%
Eintracht Frankfurt
53
64
21%
B. Dortmund
49
59
57%
B. Leverkusen
47
53
48%
B. Mönchengladbach
43
51
24%
Union Berlin
43
48
25%
SC Freiburg
40
45
10º
28%
Stuttgart
10º
39
47
25%
FC Augsburg
11º
33
37
12º
29%
Hoffenheim
12º
32
41
11º
24%
Werder Bremen
13º
30
36
13º
23%
Mainz 05
14º
28
32
15º
16%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
27
31
16º
18%
Hertha BSC
16º
26
35
14º
18%
Köln
17º
23
29
17º
55%
Schalke 04
18º
13
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
4% 0%
Mid-table
96% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
SC Freiburg
SCF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO SCF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
SCF
SC Freiburg
4 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
46%
27%
28%
1897 2009 -112 0
09 Apr. 2021
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
39%
27%
34%
1911 1536 -375 -14
03 Apr. 2021
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
2 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
62%
22%
17%
1917 2477 560 -6
21 Mar. 2021
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
46%
27%
27%
1899 2032 -133 +18
13 Mar. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
47%
27%
26%
1909 1930 21 -10

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
25%
25%
50%
3690 2559 -1131 0
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3659 3711 52 +36
10 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
80%
13%
7%
3660 1771 1889 -11
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3691 3663 28 -25
03 Apr. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
35%
27%
38%
3678 2877 -801 +7