Bundesliga Round 29

SC Freiburg vs B. Leverkusen analysis

SC Freiburg B. Leverkusen
74 ELO 87
10.9% Tilt 5.7%
39º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.4%
SC Freiburg
24.5%
Draw
49.1%
B. Leverkusen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.1%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Freiburg
-4%
-8%
B. Leverkusen

ELO progression

SC Freiburg
B. Leverkusen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2005
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
65%
21%
15%
75 85 10 0
02 Apr. 2005
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
32%
24%
44%
75 84 9 0
20 Mar. 2005
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
67%
20%
14%
75 88 13 0
12 Mar. 2005
SCF
SC Freiburg
2 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
47%
24%
29%
76 78 2 -1
05 Mar. 2005
M05
Mainz 05
5 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
45%
26%
29%
77 76 1 -1

Matches

B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2005
LEV
B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
58%
22%
20%
87 86 1 0
02 Apr. 2005
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
26%
25%
50%
87 79 8 0
19 Mar. 2005
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
64%
19%
17%
87 82 5 0
12 Mar. 2005
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 3
Hertha BSC
HER
60%
21%
19%
87 86 1 0
09 Mar. 2005
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
57%
23%
20%
87 87 0 0