Fortuna Köln II vs TuS Marialinden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HRH
2 - 1
SCF
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCF
5 - 1
SPF
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
SCF
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SHN
1 - 2
SCF
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Marialinden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TMA
3 - 3
SHN
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOP
1 - 0
TMA
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TMA
0 - 1
SVL
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GKS
2 - 1
TMA
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TMA
4 - 2
FVE
60%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |