Landesliga Mittelrhein 1 Round 16

Fortuna Köln II vs SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht analysis

Fortuna Köln II SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
19 ELO 20
8% Tilt 3.1%
5791º General ELO ranking 42029º
294º Country ELO ranking 1878º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Fortuna Köln II
20.4%
Draw
25.4%
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln II
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.4%
Win probability
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln II
-88%
+1%
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln II
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln II
Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2016
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
5 - 3
TuS 05 Oberpleis
TOP
55%
21%
24%
18 17 1 0
27 Nov. 2016
SVL
SV Lohmar
4 - 3
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
34%
22%
44%
18 16 2 0
13 Nov. 2016
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
3 - 0
GKSC Hürth
GKS
81%
12%
7%
17 11 6 +1
06 Nov. 2016
FVE
FV Endenich
2 - 3
Fortuna Köln II
SCF
36%
23%
42%
16 14 2 +1
30 Oct. 2016
SCF
Fortuna Köln II
4 - 3
Schlebusch
SVS
10%
16%
74%
14 29 15 +2

Matches

SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
TOP
TuS 05 Oberpleis
1 - 2
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
SHN
54%
21%
25%
18 18 0 0
13 Nov. 2016
SHN
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
2 - 3
SV Lohmar
SVL
67%
17%
15%
17 14 3 +1
06 Nov. 2016
GKS
GKSC Hürth
2 - 3
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
SHN
21%
21%
59%
17 12 5 0
30 Oct. 2016
SHN
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
2 - 2
FV Endenich
FVE
65%
18%
17%
18 14 4 -1
23 Oct. 2016
SVS
Schlebusch
2 - 0
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
SHN
81%
12%
7%
17 28 11 +1