Fortuna Köln II vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 2
SCF
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 2
H05
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VFL
3 - 0
SCF
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
4 - 0
SCF
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVD
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SPF
3 - 1
DUR
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SVD
1 - 2
SPF
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPF
0 - 0
ALT
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PES
0 - 0
SPF
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SPF
2 - 1
BGP
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |