SC Fortuna Köln II vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
12º
34
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 2
SCF
61%
19%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
WEG
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KON
3 - 1
SCF
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
BFR
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 2
SCF
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 0
BER
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VFL
5 - 3
HUR
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 0
SPF
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 2
HUR
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 6
H05
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |