Oberliga Mittelrhein Round 18

SC Fortuna Köln II vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis

SC Fortuna Köln II Borussia Freialdenhoven
25 ELO 25
12% Tilt 5.3%
5389º General ELO ranking 27472º
260º Country ELO ranking 837º
ELO win probability
51.6%
SC Fortuna Köln II
21.1%
Draw
27.4%
Borussia Freialdenhoven

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
SC Fortuna Köln II
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.4%
Win probability
Borussia Freialdenhoven
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

SC Fortuna Köln II
Their league position
Borussia Freialdenhoven
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
13º
12º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hennef 05
68
68
100%
Wegberg-Beeck
65
65
100%
VfL Vichttal
61
61
100%
Bonner SC
56
56
100%
Eintracht Hohkeppel
51
51
100%
Bergisch Gladbach
50
50
100%
SpVgg Frechen
39
40
55%
Borussia Freialdenhoven
37
38
55%
Konigsdorf
13º
31
34
77%
Hürth
34
34
10º
77%
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
10º
33
33
11º
77%
SC Fortuna Köln II
11º
32
32
12º
12.5%
Siegburger SV 04
12º
32
32
13º
0%
FC BW Friesdorf
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Pesch
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SC Fortuna Köln II
Borussia Freialdenhoven
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SC Fortuna Köln II
Borussia Freialdenhoven
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Fortuna Köln II
SC Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
SIE
Siegburger SV 04
0 - 2
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
39%
23%
38%
25 24 1 0
05 Mar. 2023
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
0 - 1
FC BW Friesdorf
BWF
74%
15%
11%
25 19 6 0
02 Feb. 2023
WAC
Wachtberg
1 - 3
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
19%
18%
63%
24 17 7 +1
04 Dec. 2022
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
0 - 2
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
BGP
67%
17%
16%
25 21 4 -1
27 Nov. 2022
PES
Pesch
2 - 2
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
22%
20%
58%
25 18 7 0

Matches

Borussia Freialdenhoven
Borussia Freialdenhoven
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
BFR
Borussia Freialdenhoven
0 - 2
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
28%
23%
50%
27 35 8 0
05 Mar. 2023
VFL
VfL Vichttal
3 - 2
Borussia Freialdenhoven
BFR
65%
18%
17%
27 33 6 0
18 Jan. 2023
MEE
Meerbusch
2 - 3
Borussia Freialdenhoven
BFR
61%
20%
19%
25 29 4 +2
15 Jan. 2023
NET
SC Union Nettetal
3 - 0
Borussia Freialdenhoven
BFR
46%
24%
30%
26 28 2 -1
04 Dec. 2022
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
4 - 0
Borussia Freialdenhoven
BFR
49%
22%
29%
28 28 0 -2