Saksan vs Moldova 03 Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saksan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DIN
1 - 0
SAX
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAX
2 - 2
PRU
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
SAX
7 - 2
FCS
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PET
2 - 1
SAX
65%
20%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SAX
4 - 0
TRA
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova 03 Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 1
DIN
10%
19%
71%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MOL
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 2
PET
9%
17%
74%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SHF
7 - 0
MOL
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 0
SPE
15%
22%
63%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | +1 |