Savona vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 1
SAV
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
USA
0 - 2
SAV
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
1 - 0
MIL
80%
15%
6%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
SAV
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
FCC
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
FAN
70%
18%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCC
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |