Savona vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 0
PIS
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TER
4 - 0
SAV
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REG
5 - 0
SAV
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 2
TUT
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 1
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
ANC
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACP
2 - 3
ANC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |