Sátão vs Nelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sátão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAT
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAT
5 - 0
LAM
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
SAT
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAT
3 - 3
CAR
42%
23%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAT
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NEL
2 - 2
RES
12%
18%
71%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OFR
4 - 3
NEL
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
NEL
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NEL
2 - 1
LAM
25%
23%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
NEL
85%
10%
4%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |