Épinal vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPI
5 - 0
MOA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
IVR
0 - 2
SPI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 0
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
SPI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SPI
5 - 1
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
MOA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
CSL
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
JUR
3 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
RAO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |