Épinal vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SPI
5 - 0
ESW
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VLN
0 - 1
SPI
6%
12%
82%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FUR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
USB
0 - 4
SPI
7%
12%
81%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 2
GOB
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 4
ASN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASN
12 - 0
DIE
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DSE
0 - 5
ASN
4%
10%
85%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |