Épinal vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPI
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 0
BOB
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GOB
2 - 1
SPI
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SPI
2 - 0
FCS
47%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AUX
3 - 1
SPI
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
LEN
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SML
2 - 0
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 3
FLE
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |