Épinal vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPI
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SPI
0 - 1
STR
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 2
SPI
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 3
AVR
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 2
SPI
72%
19%
10%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
FRE
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SED
3 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 5
LES
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BEZ
1 - 0
DUN
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
ORL
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |