Sartoise vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OPP
1 - 3
SAR
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
RES
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 3
EBE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
LON
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MES
4 - 1
VAU
55%
20%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 3
MES
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MES
0 - 0
LIB
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HBN
6 - 2
MES
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
USA
3 - 4
MES
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |