Sarreguemines vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STR
1 - 1
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
AUX
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 4
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAN
2 - 2
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
SAI
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 1
THA
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
COL
1 - 7
ILL
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ILL
2 - 0
THA
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
ILL
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |