Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
10º
9
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 6
S08
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 3
S08
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SJE
0 - 4
S08
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 22 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
S08
1 - 1
VIF
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 2
S08
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MJO
1 - 1
STR
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
BBS
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KON
0 - 5
STR
3%
8%
89%
|
80 | 9 | 71 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
BBS
2 - 1
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 5
STR
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |