Sarnese vs Real Normanna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
PAL
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GLA
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
SAR
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Normanna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 2
RAA
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
CAV
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
RAA
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAA
0 - 0
NFR
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |