Sarnese vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
FCF
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 0
SSE
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NFR
0 - 0
SAR
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
POM
30%
26%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
RPO
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
NAR
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
RAA
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
0 - 0
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
SSM
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |