Sarnen vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 1
LUZ
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 1
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 3
TEA
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
TAV
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |