Sarnen vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAR
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
GOL
11%
15%
73%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
BRU
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
HOC
1 - 2
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HOC
0 - 2
FCA
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GOL
4 - 0
HOC
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HOC
0 - 2
PER
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |