Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
62.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
IBA
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PER
8 - 2
SAR
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 0
SAR
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
HER
21%
19%
61%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
5 - 1
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |