Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 3
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 4
HOC
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 3
SAR
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
GUN
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 2
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
ZOF
24%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 1
HER
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
HER
4 - 2
RUS
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |