Sarnen vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 0
LUZ
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 3
SAR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 2
GUN
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 0
ESC
64%
18%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LSS
1 - 3
SAR
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 4
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 2
ASC
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 1
LUZ
66%
18%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHI
13%
20%
67%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | -1 |