Sarmiento vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 2
SAR
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 1
PLA
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 2
SAR
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
CCS
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AND
0 - 1
SAR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DAL
1 - 1
QUI
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DAL
1 - 1
MOR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IRV
2 - 1
DAL
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
DAL
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DAL
2 - 2
MIT
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |