Sarmiento vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 0
ALD
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GLP
0 - 1
SAR
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOD
1 - 1
SAR
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 0
HUR
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 2
PLA
65%
23%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 2
CAU
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
PAT
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 0
CAU
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 2
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |