Sarmiento vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 5
SAR
28%
30%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
AGR
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 2
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 0
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 0
SAR
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GBR
1 - 2
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 0
GBR
26%
28%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GBR
1 - 3
RAF
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
GBR
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GBR
3 - 1
MIT
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |