Sarmiento vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
SAR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
GIM
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
SAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GLP
3 - 0
DHA
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
INS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |