Sarmiento vs Flandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ARM
1 - 1
SAR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 1
MER
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SAR
1 - 1
STM
56%
22%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
DFR
1 - 0
SAR
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 3
SAR
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 1
COM
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
FLA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 1
BRO
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2006 |
AND
4 - 2
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |