Sarmiento vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
STM
1 - 2
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AND
3 - 3
SAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 0
ARM
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 3
SAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 2
PLA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
STM
0 - 0
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
AND
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ARM
0 - 1
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
PLA
3 - 2
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |