Sarmiento vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
SAR
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
OLI
35%
31%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
18%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
IND
22%
28%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
SAR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
TIG
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
LAN
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
GOD
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAN
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 2
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |