Sarmiento Leones vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 1
SAR
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
73%
18%
10%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
TIR
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 1
SAR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GPJ
0 - 3
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
9DJ
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 1
DEF
76%
17%
8%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
DEF
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
ARG
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GPJ
4 - 2
DEF
64%
19%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |