Sariñena vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CFV
1 - 1
SAR
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
4 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UFC
1 - 0
SAR
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 2
SAR
44%
27%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ICF
2 - 3
VIL
45%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAB
0 - 0
ICF
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ICF
1 - 3
CFV
60%
23%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ICF
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ICF
2 - 2
UFC
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |