Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
48
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 3
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 3
SAR
18%
26%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 3
SAR
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
VEL
37%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 3
BBL
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
IGM
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |