Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-3
Sarajevo vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
1 - 1
SAR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
TNV
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
HIF
1 - 2
HEL
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 0
GEF
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 2
ZES
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GEF
0 - 2
HEL
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |