SAP vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HOP
0 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
SAP
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 4
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 5
SAP
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
2 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
WIL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
WIL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 2
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 5
ORO
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
3 - 6
ALL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |