SAP vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAP
4 - 2
ALL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 0
SEA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ORO
2 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
EGF
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 2
WIL
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 3
HOP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
PBU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 1
SEA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
PBU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |