CBF Brasileiro U20 Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
São Paulo Sub 20 vs Athlético PR Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 3
AME
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Athlético PR Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
ATL
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 3
ATL
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |