São Paulo RS vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
YPI
3 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 2
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 4
PEL
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PEL
3 - 0
ECA
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 1
YPI
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 4
PEL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |