São Paulo RS vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
SAO
1 - 1
MIX
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
DES
4 - 0
SAO
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 2
SCI
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
MIX
3 - 1
NAU
44%
27%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -3 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
NAU
2 - 2
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |