Gaucho 2 . Final
Global 1-5
São Paulo RS vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
AIM
0 - 0
BRA
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
AIM
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
4 - 0
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SSR
4 - 1
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |