São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
COT
3 - 4
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
SCI
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |