São Paulo vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
SAO
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAO
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
ATM
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |